Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.008953 0.010576 0.012536 0.015120 0.018498 0.022858 2.907645e-02
2025-08-10 0.006677 0.008494 0.010940 0.014601 0.020191 0.028878 4.455374e-02
2025-08-17 0.005359 0.007120 0.009651 0.013760 0.020727 0.033146 6.034228e-02
2025-08-24 0.004530 0.006210 0.008743 0.013117 0.021182 0.037328 7.969016e-02
2025-08-31 0.004113 0.005811 0.008493 0.013424 0.023356 0.046005 1.203575e-01
2025-09-07 0.003671 0.005297 0.007952 0.013059 0.024055 0.051884 1.633848e-01
2025-09-14 0.003289 0.004824 0.007397 0.012527 0.024198 0.056514 2.130220e-01
2025-09-21 0.003049 0.004550 0.007139 0.012514 0.025536 0.065693 3.162791e-01
2025-09-28 0.002916 0.004440 0.007154 0.013060 0.028497 0.083182 5.825443e-01
2025-10-05 0.002862 0.004456 0.007403 0.014176 0.033600 0.116182 1.547626e+00
2025-10-12 0.002743 0.004342 0.007378 0.014656 0.037111 0.148785 4.318920e+00
2025-10-19 0.002574 0.004118 0.007104 0.014462 0.038336 0.171547 1.132201e+01
2025-10-26 0.002421 0.003925 0.006899 0.014495 0.040827 0.213579 1.125593e+02
2025-11-02 0.002241 0.003667 0.006531 0.014030 0.041293 0.243959 3.250645e+06
2025-11-09 0.002058 0.003386 0.006077 0.013234 0.040035 0.256237 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001908 0.003157 0.005714 0.012624 0.039340 0.275541 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001836 0.003076 0.005667 0.012916 0.042990 0.373785 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001729 0.002916 0.005423 0.012569 0.043390 0.429694 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001623 0.002748 0.005144 0.012064 0.042736 0.466516 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001555 0.002655 0.005030 0.012053 0.044826 0.595935 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001523 0.002630 0.005074 0.012570 0.050517 0.958835 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001518 0.002663 0.005261 0.013629 0.061126 2.174761 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001482 0.002627 0.005273 0.014083 0.068322 4.367575 NaN